Tuesday, 24 November 2009

Backroom negotiations?

Much of the news about the forthcoming Copenhagen Conference on Climate Change is a sort of "will they won't they" discussion about setting clear and binding targets for reducing carbon emissions in the foreseeable future. By now the science is pretty indisputable - so the discussions will come down to political and distributive effects. Who is going to bear the brunt of the cuts? And can the political leaders sell these targets to their electorates (and industrial lobby groups)? But there are other issues apart from emission reductions that also need addressing.

Countless communities in the world are already suffering the effects of climate change. These vary considerably. In the Southern Andes glaciers are massively retreating, leading communities to abandon age old settlements as they have an inadequate supply of fresh water. In sub-Saharan African extreme weather conditions threaten the livelihoods of pastoralists and farmers alike. In Bangladesh millions face increased incidence and severity of flooding. Some countries may disappear completely - as dramatically highlighted in this unusual location for a government cabinet meeting.

Much of the work that I have done in the past year has focused on documenting these issues, the responses at ground level and the need for the policy community to support such iniatives. In Africa farmers face the challenge of adapting their cropping or grazing systems to more intense weather conditions and prolonged periods of drought. In South East Asia the draining of peatlands (often for commercial plantations) has the potential to release millions of tons of CO2 (although re-wetting abandoned peatland has the potential to absorb large amounts). Elsewhere in the world grassroots and participatory initiatives are developing new techniques for coping with the increasing risk of hazards becoming disasters and for adapting to climate change. While the scale of the problems is enormous the inventiveness of local communities and social entrepreneurs is inspiring. Over the last year I have been honoured to work with Christian Aid, Drynet , Wetlands International and Cordaid in documenting these experiences and initiatives.

Helping countries and communities to meet these challenges has to be a priority at Copenhagen too. This can take the form of technical assistance in becoming more prepared for disasters and need to include compensatory mechanisms for things like carbon sequestration. This will be the subject of a conference to be held in The Hague on Thursday (26th November) which will be organised by Hier a Dutch 'platform' organisation (we call them umbrella organisations in the UK - so it shows I am starting to go a little bit native). Its part of the build up for Copenhagen - to get climate change adapation in developing countries firmly on the agenda. Speakers will include the Dutch Development Cooperation Minister and the lead negotiator from the G77 (who is the Director General of the Maldivian Ministry of the Environment, Energy and Water).

One of the reports that I edited this summer was commissioned for this conference. I received a hard copy in the post today (it is always nice if a client remembers you that way). I mailed her back to say thanks and asked how the conference went and was told it was this week. "Would I like to come?" Well why not I'm not overworked at the moment, have never seen the Peace Palace and have promised myself that I should get out and spend more time networking with my clients. While I am replanning my Wednesday and Friday, so as to absorb a lost working day, I get a phone call from the organisers of the conference (fifteen minutes after having subscribed) asking if I would be a rapporteur for their morning session - as they need someone to write up the events for their publicity and lobbying activities. So I get a 'front row seat' for the build up to the Copenhagen Conference! Doubtless I will have more to say on this topic over the next few days. For the rest of the evening I think I will just marvel at how my networks link up.

2 comments:

Dave Hampton said...

Wow, that's exciting! Best of luck and enjoy the show!

I think that the pervasive economic belief in efficient free markets as solutions to social problems actually creates a lot of the difficulty that we have in solving large problems today. There is a religion that production will shift to meet demand and to adapt to resources, so costs will motivate solutions once they are evident.

Thus, climate change, health care reform, the banking crisis, all meet cries for less, rather than more, regulation, for unleashing innovation and energy through private initiatives, and for global free trade in resources to keep costs low. Opponents are forced to argue that government regulation, whether cap and trade, a public insurance option, or stronger monetary oversight, will somehow be wiser and more efficient than collective entrepreneurs.

I believe in the virtues of free-market entrepreneurship, but it's efficiencies decline when companies become too big to fail, have monopoly influence over politicians and markets, profit by financial engineering, or expand by acquisition rather than the hard work of building a real competitive position.

My suggestion would be that these excesses should be more generally curbed through regulation so that a truly competitive landscape emerges. Then we might successfully harness individual creativity to find answers, backed up by seed funding and a public option for 'last resort' action that assures private initiatives aren't left to themselves.

Sarah F said...

Hey Nick, that should be interesting. I look forward to reading about it!